Continuing http://www.ratebeer.com/forums/just-a-funny-stat-i-was-wondering-about_283585.htm and https://www.ratebeer.com/forums/how-many-raters-does-it-take-to-make-a-million_289473.htm ... |
Since you have some extrapolation, predict how many raters will take for 1m on June 30 and December 31, and then we will get back here and check |
Also, if I stop rating, predict when my ~20000 ratings won’t be required anymore to contribute to the 1m club. |
Long-term extrapolation would be futile as the first question’s curves are far from straight, but while there are many tens of people, they should be pretty OK for a while. When I get back to the laptop I’ll put some more lines onto the charts, and see what they say. |
Oooh, I didn’t notice your extra 190 ratings, that’s worth another month at least! |
Awesome stats again Phil!! I wonder when it will happen, 5m ratings with less than 1k raters! |
Originally posted by fiulijn LibreOffice charts are braindead - the integer-valued points don’t lie on the integer-valued minor grid-marks that I asked it to show, so I had to do a bit of eyeballing. The line at Jun 30 seems to say we’ll lose 2 by then, which fits in with what we’ve seen recently. For Dec 31, it’s hard to tell, but it looks like 7 will be removed. By then the curve should have leveled out significantly, so that is perhaps an over-estimate. Let’s call it: Jun 30=53 Dec 31=48 |
Originally posted by Benzai With only 35 to lose, and losing ~30 per time interval that loses 1 in the million band, and that last 2 bands being 35 and 39 days, it would seem likely that it will take ~44 days, I guess. May 28th? 5M’s not a stat that I follow accurately, I get regular reports on the 1M band, but only see the other stats when the 1M band changes number. I could change my script, I guess... |
Trouper that he is, Crossovert found a whole mass of backlog last night, and has dived back into the scrum! |
I might have to rate some beers to keep myself as part of the 5 million...and speed that process up. |
Down to 54! |
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